Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.419433 0.482042 0.547576 0.621003 0.700700 0.784314 0.878399
2024-12-22 0.320949 0.405762 0.499872 0.610913 0.737241 0.875444 1.037016
2024-12-29 0.268681 0.370525 0.489518 0.636154 0.809402 1.005151 1.240612
2025-01-05 0.216639 0.326974 0.462773 0.637262 0.850748 1.099021 1.405142
2025-01-12 0.176433 0.291473 0.440408 0.639349 0.890479 1.189937 1.566988
2025-01-19 0.149243 0.268559 0.430377 0.654045 0.944013 1.297053 1.749209
2025-01-26 0.129002 0.251922 0.425994 0.674081 1.003254 1.411186 1.941150
2025-02-02 0.112018 0.237233 0.422111 0.693222 1.060598 1.523106 2.131532
2025-02-09 0.092024 0.214367 0.403809 0.690467 1.087773 1.596323 2.274042
2025-02-16 0.078805 0.200357 0.396728 0.701986 1.133147 1.692615 2.446081
2025-02-23 0.064673 0.182026 0.380888 0.699207 1.157933 1.761708 2.583723
2025-03-02 0.048961 0.157173 0.351769 0.674344 1.150173 1.786725 2.664022
2025-03-09 0.041448 0.147551 0.347117 0.686445 1.195333 1.883869 2.840836
2025-03-16 0.031802 0.130655 0.328023 0.674697 1.205457 1.933669 2.956207
2025-03-23 0.028331 0.127555 0.333064 0.701065 1.271280 2.059901 3.173727
2025-03-30 0.022591 0.116867 0.322855 0.701900 1.299091 2.134120 3.322861
2025-04-06 0.017940 0.107468 0.313898 0.703919 1.328191 2.210091 3.474814
2025-04-13 0.015118 0.102566 0.313189 0.719457 1.377697 2.314876 3.666353
2025-04-20 0.013096 0.099557 0.315927 0.740722 1.436064 2.432538 3.876148
2025-04-27 0.011270 0.096511 0.318199 0.761051 1.493170 2.548932 4.085168
2025-05-04 0.008461 0.088035 0.307701 0.758092 1.513658 2.613247 4.223504
2025-05-11 0.006853 0.083701 0.305860 0.770331 1.557959 2.711875 4.409519
2025-05-18 0.004954 0.076350 0.296076 0.767365 1.577749 2.775162 4.547166